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"If the asteroid 2024 YR4 had threatened Earth, we would have tried to deflect it because it measures more than 50 meters"

Updated

The Spanish researcher from ESA reflects on the case of the asteroid 2024 YR4, "the most important in the last 20 years," and explains what would happen if it were to collide with the Moon in 2032 - there is a 3.8% probability. Although this rock no longer poses a threat to our planet, he considers it "a wake-up call to remind us that asteroids are out there"

The asteroid 2024 YR4, captured by two instruments of the 'James Webb' space telescope in March.
The asteroid 2024 YR4, captured by two instruments of the 'James Webb' space telescope in March.NASA

The asteroid 2024 YR4 will not collide with Earth on December 22, 2032. The risk of impact has been completely ruled out, but this rock continues to be monitored by astronomers with great interest. The reason is that there is still a possibility of it colliding with the Moon on that day, as explained by Juan Luis Cano, coordinator of the information service of the Planetary Defense Office of the European Space Agency (ESA).

During a phone interview, he reflects on what was learned after the detection of this asteroid on December 27, which at one point had over a 3% chance of colliding with Earth, and the rapid study of its trajectory thanks to the coordination of telescopes worldwide. "It has clearly been the most important case in the last 20 years, since the discovery of the asteroid Apophis in 2004," notes this aeronautical engineer.

It was also the first time that the United Nations' planetary defense protocols, established in 2018, were activated -four years earlier, the two response groups were created, the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN in English) and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG).